← CakeTCG RDO Online Regional

Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1

at CakeTCG RDO Online Regional

decks
4 (8.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20 8-7-5
overall winrate
52.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1% avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
50.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1404 · median 1398 · range 1357–1463 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1090 Q1 1297 Q3 1494 1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Slimes 14.9% 6 2-3-1 41.7% 45.0% 47.1% -1.5
Wind Razorgale 10.6% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 55.9% +5.7
Fire Aetherwing 6.4% 0
Fire Crux Mage 4.3% 0
Fire Suited 4.3% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 55.0% +4.8
Fire Suzaku 4.3% 0
Water Aetherwing 4.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.8% -6.7
Water Exia 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.8% +10.9
Water Fractal 4.3% 0
Water Genbu 4.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.1% -6.2
Wind Astra Cleric 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.5% +5.6
Wind Shadowstrike 4.3% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 4.3% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 46.0% -3.9
Fire Arcane 2.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.8% -13.1
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.1% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.1% -1.5
Fire Oblation 2.1% 0
Luxem Mordred 2.1% 0
Water Allies 2.1% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 54.1% +4.0
Water Whirlpool Mill 2.1% 0
Wind Byakko 2.1% 0
Wind Seiryuu 2.1% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/51718/archetypes/Fire Umbra Guardian